Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 18.182198 20.769562 23.727369 27.388163 31.838118 37.125138 43.962699
2025-07-27 14.420761 17.514772 21.362471 26.592804 33.668563 43.141606 57.208065
2025-08-03 12.879655 16.326682 20.877892 27.508851 37.252441 51.625879 75.673623
2025-08-10 11.387546 14.883076 19.702932 27.098069 38.679643 57.147275 91.322262
2025-08-17 10.252046 13.735737 18.713513 26.690146 39.888762 62.448436 108.316099
2025-08-24 9.396489 12.863474 17.974420 26.488519 41.303149 68.338094 128.639333
2025-08-31 8.572148 11.938370 17.026957 25.777206 41.655884 72.307114 146.573024
2025-09-07 7.968874 11.280828 16.409104 25.503587 42.707025 77.863056 170.812142
2025-09-14 7.259500 10.394232 15.330564 24.278304 41.719164 78.890443 183.943093
2025-09-21 6.624956 9.575281 14.286645 22.984592 40.375112 78.808460 194.053893
2025-09-28 6.174922 9.017274 13.626635 22.311331 40.178855 81.339618 213.678783
2025-10-05 6.379023 9.531683 14.824043 25.269469 48.238513 106.698988 331.086709
2025-10-12 6.205243 9.418741 14.943396 26.208856 52.198463 123.476553 439.006012
2025-10-19 5.807250 8.895743 14.280288 25.474805 52.060049 128.429856 499.569921
2025-10-26 5.660202 8.793585 14.375953 26.339066 56.090653 148.283669 674.880685
2025-11-02 5.369747 8.417191 13.921864 25.951284 56.786019 157.342613 802.284091
2025-11-09 5.105578 8.069805 13.493519 25.566059 57.416445 166.589205 955.331071
2025-11-16 4.885742 7.788000 13.168801 25.375611 58.566842 178.567257 1170.726847
2025-11-23 4.631612 7.428157 12.662702 24.703522 58.180851 184.178263 1343.834779
2025-11-30 4.440040 7.172650 12.345902 24.444900 59.003058 195.682123 1642.306711
2025-12-07 4.171674 6.760231 11.684917 23.286150 56.817262 192.402675 1724.189983
2025-12-14 3.913930 6.356565 11.019804 22.061543 54.245590 186.467701 1753.682234
2025-12-21 3.729472 6.082907 10.606196 21.423764 53.478262 189.367023 1965.643390